Here’s a look at the preseason odds to win NL Cy Young, with three of our favorite targets ahead of Opening Day.
Any list for Cy Young values has to include Woodruff, who’s perennially one of the most underappreciated starters in baseball and has the stuff to make a run at this award.
The Brewers stud suffered through a rough first couple of months in 2022 before he was sidelined for nearly all of June. He returned with a dominant 10-strikeout effort over the Rays and posted a sterling 2.38 ERA with a 31.6% strikeout rate over his final 18 starts. Both of those marks ranked in the top five among qualified NL starters in that span, which came a year after Woodruff finished fifth in Cy Young voting. With a betting price outside of the top 10 in this market, this could be the biggest value bet on the board.It’s never enviable to bet on a pitcher who isn’t healthy for Opening Day, but it feels like Musgrove is getting knocked too much in this market for what should be a week or two on the shelf.
When he returns, he’ll likely assert himself as one of the best pitchers in the NL. The Padres ace ranked in the top 10 among NL starters in ERA , SIERA and strikeout rate in 2022, and he allowed the league’s fifth-lowest hard-hit rate . He also ranked third in called strikes plus whiff rate , which is often a strong indicator of future success for elite strike-throwers. Assuming Musgrove is good to go by mid-April, this will look like a steal in hindsight.
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